From Q Poll:
In the Connecticut governor’s race, Democrat Ned Lamont leads Republican Bob Stefanowski 46 – 33 percent, with 4 percent for independent candidate Oz Griebel and 1 percent for the Libertarian Party’s Rod Hanscomb, according to a Quinnipiac University Poll released today.
In a head-to-head matchup, Lamont tops Stefanowski 53 – 37 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds.
In the four-way race, Lamont leads Stefanowski 50 – 27 percent among women. Men are divided with 40 percent for Lamont and 39 percent for Stefanowski. Democrats go to Lamont over Stefanowski 81 – 3 percent. Stefanowski leads Lamont 83 – 8 percent among Republicans and 37 – 30 percent among independent voters.
Connecticut voters give Lamont a 44 – 28 percent favorability rating. Stefanowski gets a divided 33 – 31 percent favorability rating, with 35 percent who haven’t heard enough about him to form an opinion.
For Griebel, 83 percent haven’t heard enough to form an opinion and 91 percent haven’t heard enough about Hanscomb.
A total of 70 percent of Connecticut voters are “very satisfied” or “somewhat satisfied” with the choice of candidates for governor, while 25 percent are “somewhat dissatisfied” or “very dissatisfied.”
“Ned Lamont is leading Bob Stefanowski by double digits thanks to huge support among women and Connecticut’s status as a true blue state. But there’s a lot of time until Election Day, and a number of undecided voters up for grabs,” said Quinnipiac University Poll Director Douglas Schwartz, PhD.
More here including questionnaire.
No surprise there. Lamont may have outspent Ganim for the primary win but he’s also more appealing than Stefanowski.
Lennie, what type of polling did Joe Ganim do if any?
None I’m aware of. Lamont polled for the primary and the results reflected the actual vote.
Lennie, thanks, Donald Day and myself were getting phone calls and email from blacks in New Haven and Hartford when Joe would have his meet and greet sessions consistently and they would tell us what Joe talking about and why they should vote for him. Most of them had been to Bridgeport and the saw for for their self what was not being done in the black community but they would ask us were there things gong on that they were not aware of like hiring, making appointments, hiring City residents, using black companies for City and private business and what upgrade was Joe doing in the black community to provide a better way of living. There was nothing scientific, it was just feed back from cities with large numbers of black voters and the feelin the black churches and they were not feeling Joe Ganim. So what was Joe Ganim hearing, Joe is a much better speaker, debater and a better retail politician but the voters in a 80% to 20% decided that they didn’t want Joe Ganim so what Ganim continue his run for governor, did he do any polling, what made him continue run instead sitting down for party unity and to get the best deal for Bridgeport, sad.
Anything that Stefanowski can do wrong he is doing wrong. Embracing Trump, going to white nationalist rallies and staying quite after his remarkable primary win. There is only about 77 days until the election. It’s too early to count him out, but if Stefanowski doesn’t correct his course he is sailing towards a TKO.
This is more like it.
1) First of all, the Q Poll survey twice as many voters as SHU Poll (500 vs !,000). This doesn’t explain the whole difference but part of it.
2) The Q Poll has been in existence far longer than the SHU Poll. Experience alone explains part of the difference.
3) Although the SHU poll asks are you likely to vote I believe that if you want to poll voters most likely to vote then address this in create the sample and not by just asking. Or at least stratify the results to see if those who said they are likely to vote did actually vote 4 years ago.
With all of this said, Lamont has his work to do. If he learned from his run against Joe Lieberman, the general election is different than a primary. A larger audience and more middle of the road than idealistic.
Stefanowski has a greater chance of winning the Irish Sweepstakes. This campaign is all for show.