Q Poll: Malloy 47, Foley 44

Quinnipiac University has released its final poll on the eve of Election Day showing Democratic incumbent Governor Dan Malloy with a narrow three-point lead over Republican Tom Foley. From the Q Poll:

With independent candidate Joe Visconti out of the Connecticut governor’s race, Democratic incumbent Gov. Dannel Malloy has 47 percent of likely voters to Republican challenger Tom Foley’s 44 percent, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. But 7 percent remain undecided one day before the election.

This compares to results of an October 29 survey by the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University, showing Foley with 46 percent of likely voters to Malloy’s 45 percent.

Republicans back Foley 89 – 7 percent as Democrats back Malloy 86 – 10 percent. Independent voters are divided with 44 percent for Malloy and 45 percent for Foley. Malloy leads Foley 53 – 38 percent among women, while Foley leads 51 – 41 percent among men.

“Contrary to conventional wisdom, independent candidate Joe Visconti’s last minute exit from the governor’s race doesn’t look like it will help Republican Tom Foley,” said Douglas Schwartz, PhD, director of the Quinnipiac University Poll.

One day before the election, 89 percent of Connecticut likely voters who name a candidate say their mind is made up, while 11 percent say they might change their mind.

Connecticut likely voters give Foley a split 42 – 44 percent favorability rating, while Malloy gets a negative 43 – 49 percent score.

From October 28 – November 2, Quinnipiac University surveyed 926 likely voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.2 percentage points.

Full poll here.



    1. When budgets are prepared and approved 1-6 months ahead of a fiscal year, they are all commonly balanced as required by many Charters, Constitutions and papers of organization.

      However the real test of “budgeting” is what happens to the results one to seven months after the FY in question when adjustments, auditors and suchwise have a go at it. If you stay balanced or show minor positive variances, most people are happy though this fact is not necessarily newsworthy. The reason is there may have been so much “room budgeted” into the revenue and spending plan, it was able to deal with challenges as well as inefficiencies and waste. A simple look at the final balance cannot tell you what the real story is. And if no one is around to ask about or read about the audited results, then is it really important? Time will tell.

  1. The Quinnipiac Poll didn’t take into consideration the FACT Visconti had 7% of the polling vote. He has, on Sunday, verified by the Hartford Courant, fully endorsed Foley. If this holds true and his voting followers vote for Foley, then Foley will be the next governor.

  2. Not gonna happen, Bob. No poll I have seen showed all of Visconti’s votes going to Foley. As a matter of fact, most polls showed his votes being split between Malloy and Foley.
    And three days before the election? My guess is most Visconti votes will go to Visconti since his name will remain on the ballot. Too little, too late, to make a difference.

    1. Bob Walsh, that’s why I said Visconti is giving support to Malloy because he is showing how unstable he is by dropping out now, if he wanted to help Foley he should have gotten out much sooner so his supporters would have known.

  3. While walking down the street one day a Corrupt Senator was tragically hit by a car and died.

    His soul arrives in heaven and is met by St. Peter at the entrance.

    “Welcome to heaven,” says St. Peter. “Before you settle in, it seems there is a problem. We seldom see a high official around these parts, you see, so we’re not sure what to do with you.”

    “No problem, just let me in,” says the Senator.

    “Well, I’d like to, but I have orders from the higher-ups. What we’ll do is have you spend one day in hell and one in heaven. Then you can choose where to spend eternity.”

    “Really?, I’ve made up my mind. I want to be in heaven,” says the Senator.

    “I’m sorry, but we have our rules.”

    And with that, St. Peter escorts him to the elevator and he goes down, down, down to hell.

    The doors open and he finds himself in the middle of a green golf course. In the distance is a clubhouse and standing in front of it are all his friends and other politicians who had worked with him.

    Everyone is very happy and in evening dress. They run to greet him, shake his hand, and reminisce about the good times they had while getting rich at the expense of the people.

    They played a friendly game of golf and then dine on lobster, caviar and the finest champagne.

    Also present is the devil, who really is a very friendly guy who is having a good time dancing and telling jokes.

    They are all having such a good time, before the Senator realizes it, it is time to go.

    Everyone gives him a hearty farewell and waves while the elevator rises.

    The elevator goes up, up, up and the door reopens in heaven where St. Peter is waiting for him, “Now it’s time to visit heaven …”

    So, 24 hours passed with the Senator joining a group of contented souls moving from cloud to cloud, playing the harp and singing. They have a good time and, before he realizes it, the 24 hours have gone by and St. Peter returns.

    “Well then, you’ve spent a day in hell and another in heaven. Now choose your eternity.”

    The Senator reflects for a minute, then he answers: “Well, I would never have said it before, I mean heaven has been delightful, but I think I would be better off in hell.”

    So St. Peter escorts him to the elevator and he goes down, down, down to hell …

    Now the doors of the elevator open and he’s in the middle of a barren land covered with waste and garbage. He sees all his friends, dressed in rags, picking up the trash and putting it in black bags as more trash falls from above.

    The devil comes over to him and puts his arm around his shoulders.

    “I don’t understand,” stammers the Senator. “Yesterday I was here and there was a golf course and clubhouse, and we ate lobster and caviar, drank champagne, and danced and had a great time. Now there’s just a wasteland full of garbage and my friends look miserable. What happened?”

    The devil smiles at him and says, “Yesterday we were campaigning. Today, you voted.”

    Vote wisely tomorrow, November 4, 2014.

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