MALLOY, FOLEY TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Connecticut voters still undecided on their next governor
HARTFORD, CT (October 5, 2010) – Democratic gubernatorial candidate Dan Malloy has 47.5 percent to Republican Tom Foley’s 44.9 percent according to the CT Capitol Report poll released today. The two candidates will participate in a live, televised debate tonight.
The poll, commissioned by CT Capitol Report and conducted by the Merriman River Group, surveyed 1,582 likely voters on October 3, 2010 with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points. 7.6 percent of those surveyed are still unsure of who they will support in the race.
“With a month to go, the race for governor remains very competitive though it has been overshadowed by Connecticut’s U.S. Senate race,” says the poll’s Executive Director, Matthew Fitch. “The polling suggests that the spotlight on the Senate race has created some challenges for Democrat Dan Malloy. Republican candidates Tom Foley and Linda McMahon enjoy virtually identical levels of support at 44.9 and 44.7, respectively. Malloy leads the governor’s race by 2.6 points but lags nearly 5 points behind fellow Democrat Richard Blumenthal. This can be attributed to Malloy engaging in his first statewide general election while this is Blumenthal’s sixth statewide campaign.”
As the only publicly financed candidate of the four, Malloy faces a financial disadvantage compared to Republican Foley.
“While Malloy has a much tighter race than Blumenthal, he starts with a slight lead and there are indications that the undecided voters are likely to view him favorably as he increases in name recognition,” remarked Fitch.
Fitch noted that among undecided voters, President Obama is viewed favorably by a 48-33 margin, and these same undecided voters favor Blumenthal by a similar 47-32 margin. “If Malloy can compete financially, and that’s a big if, it appears that the lion’s share of the undecided voters are his for the taking.”
A poll on each of Connecticut’s five congressional districts will be released later this week. More www.ctcapitolreport.com