Oh, baby, the battle for Connecticut’s 4th Congressional District is tighter than Mariano Rivera’s cut fastball. Bridgeport voters will have a major say whether Democrat Jim Himes returns for two more years or Republican Dan Debicella who was raised in Bridgeport takes over. From www.ctcapitolreport.com:
Democratic incumbent U.S. Representative Jim Himes is in a neck-and-neck race with Republican challenger Dan Debicella according to a poll released today on Connecticut’s 4th congressional district. Representative Himes has 49.4 percent to Debicella’s 47.2 percent. Included in those surveyed are 3.4 percent still unsure of whom they will support in the race.
The poll, commissioned by ctcapitolreport.com and conducted by the Merriman River Group, surveyed 411 likely voters on October 3-5, 2010 with a margin of error of +/- 4.8 percentage points. “With a month to go, the 4th district race between Democratic incumbent Jim Himes and Republican challenger Dan Debicella is a statistical dead heat, and the city of Bridgeport will likely decide it,” says the poll’s Executive Director, Matthew Fitch. “Himes holds a 2.2 percent lead, which is less than half the margin of error. As in other districts, Himes’ fortunes may be tied to President Obama’s approval rating. Voters approving of the President’s job performance are supporting Himes by an 87.2-10.3 margin, while voters who have a negative view of Obama support Republican DeBicella 88.7-9.8.”
According to Fitch, “Voter turnout in Bridgeport may well hold the key to this race. In 2008 almost 40,000 voters turned out in Bridgeport, and Himes’ 23,000 vote margin in the city offset an 11,000 vote deficit in the rest of the district to give him a 12,000 vote plurality. In 2006, when barely 20,000 voters turned out, Democrat Diane Farrell won Bridgeport by better than a 2-1 margin, but the lower turnout yielded her only a 7,000 vote margin and she was unable to overcome the 14,000 vote deficit in the rest of the district.
Check out more at www.ctcapitolreport.com.
*** Who’s on first? *** FORGETABOUTIT ***
I don’t know is on third.
An irrelevant observation is that Mariano’s cut fastball has occasionally looked like a juicy pork chop this year.
More relevant, any politician saying Himes can drag out 2008 numbers in Bridgeport for 2010 has been at the Vibes concert sampling pharmaceuticals. (Say, where is Jolly … ?) A turnout between 2006 and 2008 seems reasonable if voters like the other Democratic candidates, fall in love with their president again, are led to the polls by their mayor and party chairman–and maybe get a large sampling of the pharmaceuticals.
Our present mayor and party chairman could only lead a blind man into a ditch.
My sweet lord it’s time for a change.
HELP